Ibovespa Surges as US Rate Cut Expectations Grow
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The Ibovespa index, Brazil’s primary stock market benchmark, soared, surpassing 129,000 points with a notable 1.25% increase, closing at 129,124.83 points.
This rally was fueled by the Federal Reserve’s indications that it might cut interest rates in the coming years, boosting investor confidence globally.
This news spurred a significant uptick in Ibovespa, marking one of its most substantial closes lately.
The Brazilian real gained strength against the dollar, which fell 1.09% to R$4.975.
Wall Street also reacted favorably, with major indices gaining around 1%, reflecting the positive atmosphere stirred by the Fed’s dovish stance.
Experts like André Cordeiro from Inter and analysts at Goldman Sachs view the Fed’s forecast as signaling a “goldilocks” scenario.
This suggests a balance that could sustain market rallies without sparking inflation concerns.
They pointed to the Fed’s consistent outlook on three rate cuts as a sign of a stable economic expansion ahead.
Yet, some analysts urge caution. Fernando Nobre from XP highlighted the Fed’s focus on the labor market and GDP for a cautious economic approach.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stressed a careful, meeting-by-meeting approach to rate cuts, avoiding commitment to a start date.
Amidst this optimism, Brazil‘s Copom was poised to announce a potential 0.50 percentage point cut to the Selic rate.
Additionally, this anticipation contributed to a celebratory mood in São Paulo’s markets, with most stocks ending the day in the green.
Despite a few declines, such as PRIO’s 3.58% drop due to falling international oil prices, the overall market sentiment remained buoyant.
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