Animal Spirits: The Holy Grail of Investing
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Well, that was weird. Thanks $META.
This seems like it’s going down as one of the very few times since the S&P 500 became a 500-stock index that it jumped more than 1% on a day when more of its stocks declined than advanced.
Forward returns weren’t great. pic.twitter.com/Ey0KmXfKZt
— Jason Goepfert (@jasongoepfert) February 2, 2024
Man, this is weird.
The S&P 500 is within .35% of a 3-year high.
Fewer than 40% of its stocks are above their 10-day avg, fewer than 60% above their 50-day, and fewer than 70% above their 200-day.
Since 1928, that’s only happened once before: August 8, 1929.
— Jason Goepfert (@jasongoepfert) February 6, 2024
The S&P 500 closed within 0.35% of an all-time high yet fewer than 20% of NYSE issues rallied today.
That’s never happened, since at least 1962.
There were only 2 days when fewer than 30% of issues rallied:
November 22, 1999
January 18, 2018— Jason Goepfert (@jasongoepfert) February 5, 2024
The most WILD stat of the week
Over the last 3-months $NVDA has added $TSLA‘s entire market cap to its valuation, which is over $550 billion 🫨 pic.twitter.com/f0irKtOd2V
— Stocktwits (@Stocktwits) February 6, 2024
Always have to wrestle with the question of whether the relative cheapness of an index is appropriate given fundamentals.
Underperformance of R2K vs nasdaq in large part driven by the significant divergence in the level and trend of earnings. pic.twitter.com/DmYaHOxlTm
— Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) February 4, 2024
Grey lines are where Fed Fund Futures (the market) expected the actual Fed Funds Rate to track. Blue line is where the Fed Funds Rate actually tracked. What do you notice? pic.twitter.com/UApzzrOIHy
— Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) February 4, 2024
One measure of sentiment among individual investors, the Yale School of Management One-Year Confidence Index, is at the highest level since **2007** pic.twitter.com/yorEDScKcj
— Gunjan Banerji (@GunjanJS) February 4, 2024
Household debt outstanding as a share of US GDP is down over the past decade pic.twitter.com/1cG9i3KQl5
— Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) January 31, 2024
iShares Bitcoin Trust & Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund now #1 & #2 in AUM out of *all* ETFs launched since beginning of 2023…
That’s over 600 ETFs.
IBIT & FBTC did this in less than 3 weeks.
— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) January 31, 2024
President Abraham Lincoln, today 1865, at age fifty-five: pic.twitter.com/ZZiDBW0Yyq
— Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) February 6, 2024
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